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J2 League
Iwaki logo Iwaki
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Albirex Niigata logo Albirex Niigata

Match Analysis

Iwaki Albirex Niigata
Iwaki W W L D D D
Albirex Niigata L L D D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Iwaki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Imabari 2 - 1 Win
Jul 12, 26 Away Parceiro Nagano 1 - 3 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away Tokushima Vortis 2 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Shonan Bellmare 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Fujieda MYFC 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Matsumoto Yamaga 1 - 1 Draw

Albirex Niigata Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Omiya Ardija 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Montedio Yamagata 3 - 4 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Consadole Sapporo 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Kagoshima United 0 - 0 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Ehime FC 2 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Home Nara Club 2 - 1 Win

J2 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 Albirex Niigata 21 9 7 5 21 18 +3 34
19 Iwaki 20 7 7 6 23 21 +2 28

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.45% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Iwaki to win
This prediction indicates that Iwaki has a 47.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.71 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Tochigi City vs Vanraure Hachinohe 7 hours from now · noon › Blaublitz Akita vs Kataller Toyama 7 hours from now · noon › Shonan Bellmare vs Montedio Yamagata 8 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Fujieda MYFC vs Iwaki 7 hours from now · 12:30 p.m. › Imabari vs Omiya Ardija 8 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Ventforet Kofu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki 8 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Vegalta Sendai vs Oita Trinita 8 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Albirex Niigata vs Consadole Sapporo 8 hours from now · 1 p.m. ›