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J3 League
Kagoshima United logo Kagoshima United
Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
FC Ryukyu logo FC Ryukyu

Match Analysis

Kagoshima United FC Ryukyu
Kagoshima United W W W W D W
FC Ryukyu L W D W D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
FC Ryukyu Kagoshima United 1 - 1 May 3, 2026
Kagoshima United FC Ryukyu 3 - 1 February 15, 2026
Kagoshima United FC Ryukyu 1 - 1 November 23, 2025
FC Ryukyu Kagoshima United 1 - 2 May 6, 2025
FC Ryukyu Kagoshima United 2 - 0 November 11, 2023
Kagoshima United FC Ryukyu 2 - 0 May 14, 2023

Kagoshima United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 19, 26 Home Renofa Yamaguchi 2 - 1 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Nara Club 1 - 3 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Thespakusatsu Gunma 1 - 0 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away Blaublitz Akita 0 - 2 Win
May 30, 26 Away Albirex Niigata 0 - 0 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Kitakyushu 1 - 5 Win

FC Ryukyu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Renofa Yamaguchi 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Home Urawa 5 - 4 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away Fukushima United 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Imabari 1 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Away Sagan Tosu 2 - 2 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Gainare Tottori 1 - 3 Loss

J3 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Kagoshima United 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
16 FC Ryukyu 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.5% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Kagoshima United to win
This prediction indicates that Kagoshima United has a 64.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.75 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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J3 League

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Biwako Shiga 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Kagoshima United vs FC Gifu 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime FC 6 hours from now · noon › Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Nara Club vs Renofa Yamaguchi 6 hours from now · noon › Osaka vs FC Ryukyu 6 hours from now · noon › Gainare Tottori vs Fukushima United 7 hours from now · 1 p.m. ›