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A Lyga

Sept. 6, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Kauno Žalgiris Džiugas Telšiai
Kauno Žalgiris L D L W L W
Džiugas Telšiai L W D L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Džiugas Telšiai Kauno Žalgiris 0 - 0 July 3, 2026
Kauno Žalgiris Džiugas Telšiai 2 - 2 May 5, 2026
Džiugas Telšiai Kauno Žalgiris 1 - 2 March 7, 2026
Kauno Žalgiris Džiugas Telšiai 2 - 1 September 21, 2025
Džiugas Telšiai Kauno Žalgiris 1 - 2 August 17, 2025
Džiugas Telšiai Kauno Žalgiris 0 - 1 May 9, 2025

Kauno Žalgiris Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 20, 26 Away Besiktas 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Home TransINVEST Vilnius 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 11, 26 Home Dinamo Zagreb 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Hegelmann Litauen 2 - 0 Win
Aug 4, 26 Away Dinamo Zagreb 5 - 0 Loss
Jul 29, 26 Home KI Klaksvik 1 - 0 Win

Džiugas Telšiai Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 17, 26 Home Suduva Marijampole 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away Šiauliai 3 - 4 Win
Aug 3, 26 Away Panevėžys 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Away TransINVEST Vilnius 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 19, 26 Home Banga 1 - 0 Win
Jul 3, 26 Home Kauno Žalgiris 0 - 0 Draw

A Lyga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Kauno Žalgiris 24 12 8 4 47 17 +30 44
2 Džiugas Telšiai 25 12 7 6 37 27 +10 43

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.84% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Kauno Žalgiris to win
This prediction indicates that Kauno Žalgiris has a 62.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.09 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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