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League Two
Kelty Hearts logo Kelty Hearts
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Edinburgh City logo Edinburgh City

Match Analysis

Kelty Hearts Edinburgh City
Kelty Hearts L L W L W W
Edinburgh City D W W W W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Kelty Hearts Edinburgh City 3 - 1 March 30, 2024
Kelty Hearts Edinburgh City 3 - 2 February 13, 2024
Edinburgh City Kelty Hearts 0 - 3 February 3, 2024
Edinburgh City Kelty Hearts 1 - 4 October 7, 2023
Edinburgh City Kelty Hearts 3 - 5 July 19, 2023
Edinburgh City Kelty Hearts 2 - 2 April 22, 2023

Kelty Hearts Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Stranraer 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 25, 26 Home Clydebank 2 - 4 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Dumbarton 3 - 1 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Elgin City 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 11, 26 Home Motherwell U21 4 - 3 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Stirling Albion 3 - 2 Win

Edinburgh City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Home Forfar Athletic 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 25, 26 Away Hamilton Academical 0 - 1 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home Annan Athletic 1 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Dumbarton 0 - 3 Win
Aug 11, 26 Home Cowdenbeath 3 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Spartans 2 - 2 Draw

League Two Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Edinburgh City 5 2 2 1 7 8 -1 8
5 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 7 8 -1 6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.14% likelihood that both Kelty Hearts and Edinburgh City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Kelty Hearts or Edinburgh City to win
This prediction indicates that Kelty Hearts has a 39.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.07 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League Two

Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Clyde vs Edinburgh City 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Stirling Albion vs Spartans 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Dumbarton vs Elgin City 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. ›