La Luz vs Plaza Colonia Sunday 11th October 2026 10:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Segunda División

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Oct. 11, 2026 1 week ago
1 – 1
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Match Analysis

La Luz Plaza Colonia
La Luz W W L W L D
Plaza Colonia L D D W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Recent meetings between La Luz and Plaza Colonia have been fairly even, suggesting neither side has a consistent edge in head-to-head contests. The model predicts a draw with a 38% probability, noting that Plaza Colonia is seen as the stronger team overall, though both sides are showing moderate recent form and come in with similar rest. The market odds for a draw are close to the model's view, indicating similar confidence. Additionally, the model leans toward an Under 1.5 goals outcome, with its predicted probability for fewer than two goals being notably higher than what the odds imply.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Competition Date
Plaza Colonia La Luz 1 - 0 Segunda División July 4, 2026
Plaza Colonia La Luz 2 - 0 Segunda División September 25, 2024
La Luz Plaza Colonia 2 - 1 Segunda División June 9, 2024
La Luz Plaza Colonia 1 - 1 Primera División - Clausura October 22, 2023
Plaza Colonia La Luz 1 - 1 Primera División - Apertura March 16, 2023

La Luz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 4, 26 Home CA River Plate Segunda División 3 - 2 Win
Sep 27, 26 Away Cerrito Segunda División 1 - 2 Win
Sep 19, 26 Home Atenas Segunda División 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 12, 26 Away Paysandu Segunda División 0 - 1 Win
Sep 4, 26 Home Sportivo Huracan Segunda División 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Away Uruguay Montevideo Segunda División 0 - 0 Draw

Plaza Colonia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 4, 26 Home Cerrito Segunda División 1 - 3 Loss
Sep 27, 26 Away Atenas Segunda División 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 19, 26 Home Paysandu Segunda División 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 12, 26 Away Sportivo Huracan Segunda División 1 - 2 Win
Sep 7, 26 Home Uruguay Montevideo Segunda División 1 - 0 Win
Aug 30, 26 Away Oriental Segunda División 2 - 0 Loss

Segunda División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Plaza Colonia 27 12 8 7 35 23 +12 44
10 La Luz 27 8 10 9 24 30 -6 34
View full table
Pos Team MP W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Colonia 28 12 9 7 +12 45
2 Oriental 29 12 9 8 +7 45
3 Atenas 28 13 6 9 +6 45
4 Colón 29 12 9 8 +5 45
5 Fenix 30 11 11 8 +9 44
6 Rentistas 28 11 9 8 +3 42
7 Cerrito 28 10 11 7 +4 41
8 La Luz 29 9 11 9 -5 38
9 CA River Plate 28 10 7 11 0 37
10 Sportivo Huracan 29 9 10 10 -6 37
11 Paysandu 29 10 5 14 -3 35
12 Miramar 28 7 10 11 -7 31
13 Tacuarembo 29 6 9 14 -13 27
14 Uruguay Montevideo 28 6 8 14 -12 26

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.93% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that La Luz will score 0 goals, and Plaza Colonia will score 0 goals in the football match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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