La Roche VF vs Aubagne Saturday 03rd October 2026 09:45 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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National 1

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

La Roche VF Aubagne
La Roche VF D D W D W W
Aubagne L D W L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

La Roche VF Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 12, 26 Away Villefranche 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 5, 26 Home Quevilly 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 29, 26 Away Orleans 0 - 1 Win
Aug 20, 26 Home Cannes 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 14, 26 Away Amiens 0 - 1 Win
Aug 7, 26 Home Versailles 3 - 2 Win

Aubagne Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 12, 26 Home Concarneau 1 - 2 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Away Gobelins 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 29, 26 Home Bourg-en-bresse 01 2 - 0 Win
Aug 20, 26 Away Caen 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Home SC Bastia 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Home Thionville Lusitanos 0 - 3 Loss

National 1 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 La Roche VF 6 3 3 0 7 4 +3 12
16 Aubagne 6 1 1 4 3 7 -4 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.57% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
La Roche VF to win
This prediction indicates that La Roche VF has a 56.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.16 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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