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National 1

Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

La Roche VF Valenciennes
La Roche VF W D W W D W
Valenciennes D D L W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

La Roche VF Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Orleans 0 - 1 Win
Aug 20, 26 Home Cannes 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 14, 26 Away Amiens 0 - 1 Win
Aug 7, 26 Home Versailles 3 - 2 Win
Jul 22, 26 Away Nantes 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Away Le Mans 2 - 3 Win

Valenciennes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 3, 26 Away Rouen 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 29, 26 Home Concarneau 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 20, 26 Away Gobelins 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Home Bourg-en-bresse 01 2 - 0 Win
Aug 7, 26 Away Caen 4 - 0 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Home Boulogne 1 - 1 Draw

National 1 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 La Roche VF 4 3 1 0 6 3 +3 10
13 Valenciennes 4 1 1 2 3 6 -3 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.09% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
La Roche VF to win
This prediction indicates that La Roche VF has a 53.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.19 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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