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National 1
Concarneau logo Concarneau
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Caen logo Caen

Match Analysis

Concarneau Caen
Concarneau D W D L W W
Caen L W L W D W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Caen Concarneau 0 - 0 May 9, 2026
Concarneau Caen 3 - 3 January 16, 2026
Concarneau Caen 1 - 0 July 26, 2025
Caen Concarneau 1 - 0 January 13, 2024
Concarneau Caen 0 - 2 August 19, 2023

Concarneau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Valenciennes 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 20, 26 Home Villefranche 2 - 0 Win
Aug 14, 26 Away Quevilly 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 7, 26 Home Orleans 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Home Pontivy GSI 5 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Laval 1 - 2 Win

Caen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 27, 26 Home SC Bastia 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 20, 26 Home Aubagne 1 - 0 Win
Aug 14, 26 Away Thionville Lusitanos 4 - 3 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Home Valenciennes 4 - 0 Win
Jul 31, 26 Home Dieppe 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Al Wakrah 4 - 1 Win

National 1 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Caen 4 2 0 2 8 5 +3 6
11 Concarneau 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5

Predictions

Concarneau to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Concarneau has a 39.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.96 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National 1

Versailles vs Cannes 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › La Roche VF vs Quevilly 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › Concarneau vs Thionville Lusitanos 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › Gobelins vs Aubagne 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › Le Puy Foot vs Orleans 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › Fleury 91 vs Villefranche 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › SC Bastia vs Amiens 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. ›