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National 1
Rouen logo Rouen
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Aubagne logo Aubagne

Match Analysis

Rouen Aubagne
Rouen D W W W D W
Aubagne W L L L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Rouen Aubagne 3 - 1 April 24, 2026
Aubagne Rouen 1 - 1 December 5, 2025
Rouen Aubagne 0 - 1 January 24, 2025
Aubagne Rouen 2 - 1 August 23, 2024

Rouen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 3, 26 Home Valenciennes 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 29, 26 Away Villefranche 0 - 2 Win
Aug 20, 26 Home Quevilly 3 - 0 Win
Aug 14, 26 Away Orleans 1 - 2 Win
Aug 7, 26 Home Cannes 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 28, 26 Home Al Wakrah 1 - 0 Win

Aubagne Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Bourg-en-bresse 01 2 - 0 Win
Aug 20, 26 Away Caen 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Home SC Bastia 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Home Thionville Lusitanos 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 24, 26 Home SC Bastia 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Away Montpellier 3 - 2 Loss

National 1 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Rouen 4 3 1 0 7 1 +6 10
16 Aubagne 4 1 0 3 2 5 -3 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.93% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Rouen to win
This prediction indicates that Rouen has a 62.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.01 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National 1

Versailles vs Cannes 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › La Roche VF vs Quevilly 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › Concarneau vs Thionville Lusitanos 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › Gobelins vs Aubagne 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › Le Puy Foot vs Orleans 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › Fleury 91 vs Villefranche 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. › SC Bastia vs Amiens 10 hours from now · 3:45 p.m. ›