Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising Sunday 02nd August 2026 05:30 AM football predictions.

Las Vegas Lights Phoenix Rising

Las Vegas Lights L L W D W L

Phoenix Rising L L D L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Phoenix Rising	Las Vegas Lights	0 - 1	February 14, 2026
Phoenix Rising	Las Vegas Lights	0 - 0	September 6, 2025
Las Vegas Lights	Phoenix Rising	0 - 1	May 29, 2025
Phoenix Rising	Las Vegas Lights	1 - 2	September 29, 2024
Las Vegas Lights	Phoenix Rising	0 - 0	June 2, 2024
Las Vegas Lights	Phoenix Rising	2 - 3	August 27, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Home	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Orange County SC	2 - 3	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Birmingham Legion	1 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Home	FC Tulsa	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Colorado Springs	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	New Mexico United	3 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Away	Colorado Springs	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Oakland Roots	3 - 4	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 11, 26	Home	Louisville City	0 - 2	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Sacramento Republic	2 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Tampa Bay Rowdies	3 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
18	Phoenix Rising	15	4	5	6	20	22	-2	17
20	Las Vegas Lights	14	4	3	7	21	25	-4	15

This prediction indicates that Las Vegas Lights has a 37.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.41 %

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