FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive Sunday 19th July 2026 03:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FC Tulsa El Paso Locomotive

FC Tulsa L W L D W W

El Paso Locomotive L D D L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
El Paso Locomotive	FC Tulsa	1 - 4	April 30, 2026
El Paso Locomotive	FC Tulsa	1 - 1	October 19, 2025
FC Tulsa	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 1	May 11, 2025
FC Tulsa	El Paso Locomotive	0 - 1	October 6, 2024
El Paso Locomotive	FC Tulsa	0 - 1	April 28, 2024
FC Tulsa	El Paso Locomotive	2 - 2	April 1, 2023

FC Tulsa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Home	Colorado Springs	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 18, 26	Home	Monterey Bay	2 - 0	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Charleston Battery	5 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Las Vegas Lights	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Hartford Athletic	2 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Monterey Bay	1 - 2	Win

El Paso Locomotive Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Away	Monterey Bay	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Phoenix Rising	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 10, 26	Away	Detroit City	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Lexington	1 - 4	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Oakland Roots	2 - 1	Loss
May 7, 26	Away	New Mexico United	2 - 2	Draw

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	FC Tulsa	13	5	4	4	17	16	+1	19
16	El Paso Locomotive	13	4	4	5	23	23	0	16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.46% likelihood that both FC Tulsa and El Paso Locomotive will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FC Tulsa to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that FC Tulsa has a 39.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.81 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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USL Championship

Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive 3 hours ago · 5:30 a.m. › Colorado Springs vs Phoenix Rising 5 hours ago · 4 a.m. › Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington 8 hours ago · 1 a.m. › Rhode Island vs Orange County SC 6 hours ago · 2:30 a.m. › New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots 4 hours ago · 4:30 a.m. › FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic 5 hours ago · 3:30 a.m. › San Antonio vs Monterey Bay 5 hours ago · 4 a.m. › Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Brooklyn 7 hours ago · 2 a.m. › Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic 6 hours ago · 3 a.m. ›