San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights Sunday 19th July 2026 04:00 AM football predictions.

San Antonio Las Vegas Lights

San Antonio W L D W D D

Las Vegas Lights L W D W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Las Vegas Lights	San Antonio	1 - 1	August 10, 2025
San Antonio	Las Vegas Lights	3 - 0	June 8, 2025
San Antonio	Las Vegas Lights	1 - 1	May 12, 2024
Las Vegas Lights	San Antonio	1 - 0	April 7, 2024
Las Vegas Lights	San Antonio	1 - 2	May 7, 2023
San Antonio	Las Vegas Lights	1 - 1	April 30, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 25, 26	Away	Colorado Springs	1 - 2	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Lexington	2 - 0	Loss
May 27, 26	Away	Sporting JAX	4 - 4	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Sacramento Republic	2 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Phoenix Rising	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Colorado Springs	3 - 3	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Home	Orange County SC	2 - 3	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Birmingham Legion	1 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Home	FC Tulsa	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Colorado Springs	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	New Mexico United	3 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Lexington	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	San Antonio	14	6	6	2	20	17	+3	24
20	Las Vegas Lights	13	4	3	6	20	23	-3	15

This prediction indicates that San Antonio has a 42.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.73 %

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