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USL Championship

July 19, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

San Antonio Las Vegas Lights
San Antonio W L D W D D
Las Vegas Lights L W D W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Las Vegas Lights San Antonio 1 - 1 August 10, 2025
San Antonio Las Vegas Lights 3 - 0 June 8, 2025
San Antonio Las Vegas Lights 1 - 1 May 12, 2024
Las Vegas Lights San Antonio 1 - 0 April 7, 2024
Las Vegas Lights San Antonio 1 - 2 May 7, 2023
San Antonio Las Vegas Lights 1 - 1 April 30, 2023

San Antonio Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 25, 26 Away Colorado Springs 1 - 2 Win
Jun 13, 26 Away Lexington 2 - 0 Loss
May 27, 26 Away Sporting JAX 4 - 4 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Sacramento Republic 2 - 1 Win
May 10, 26 Away Phoenix Rising 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Colorado Springs 3 - 3 Draw

Las Vegas Lights Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Home Orange County SC 2 - 3 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Away Birmingham Legion 1 - 2 Win
May 31, 26 Home FC Tulsa 0 - 0 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Colorado Springs 2 - 0 Win
May 10, 26 Away New Mexico United 3 - 1 Loss
May 3, 26 Home Lexington 2 - 1 Win

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 San Antonio 14 6 6 2 20 17 +3 24
20 Las Vegas Lights 13 4 3 6 20 23 -3 15

Predictions

San Antonio to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that San Antonio has a 42.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.73 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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