USL Championship
Match Analysis
Phoenix Rising
Monterey Bay
Phoenix Rising
L
D
L
W
L
D
Monterey Bay
W
L
W
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Rising | Monterey Bay | 2 - 0 | May 18, 2025 |
| Monterey Bay | Phoenix Rising | 3 - 1 | March 30, 2025 |
| Phoenix Rising | Monterey Bay | 1 - 2 | October 5, 2024 |
| Monterey Bay | Phoenix Rising | 1 - 0 | March 17, 2024 |
| Monterey Bay | Phoenix Rising | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2023 |
| Phoenix Rising | Monterey Bay | 1 - 1 | April 16, 2023 |
Phoenix Rising Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Oakland Roots | 3 - 4 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | El Paso Locomotive | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 11, 26 | Home | Louisville City | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Sacramento Republic | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Home | San Antonio | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Monterey Bay Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | El Paso Locomotive | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 18, 26 | Away | FC Tulsa | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 11, 26 | Home | Sporting JAX | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Loudoun United | 4 - 1 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Birmingham Legion | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 8, 26 | Away | Lexington | 3 - 1 | Loss |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Phoenix Rising | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
| 21 | Monterey Bay | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.81% likelihood that both Phoenix Rising and Monterey Bay will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Phoenix Rising to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Phoenix Rising has a 38.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.09 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive
3 hours ago · 5:30 a.m.
›
Colorado Springs vs Phoenix Rising
5 hours ago · 4 a.m.
›
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington
8 hours ago · 1 a.m.
›
Rhode Island vs Orange County SC
6 hours ago · 2:30 a.m.
›
New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots
4 hours ago · 4:30 a.m.
›
FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic
5 hours ago · 3:30 a.m.
›
San Antonio vs Monterey Bay
5 hours ago · 4 a.m.
›
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Brooklyn
7 hours ago · 2 a.m.
›
Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic
6 hours ago · 3 a.m.
›
Comments