Leganes vs Mérida AD Friday 07th August 2026 03:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports

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Aug. 7, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Leganes Mérida AD

Leganes D D L W L D

Mérida AD W D L L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Leganes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Away	Nacional	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 17, 26	Home	Albacete	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Levante	2 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Mirandes	1 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Cadiz	3 - 0	Loss
May 18, 26	Home	Huesca	0 - 0	Draw

Mérida AD Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Osasuna II	1 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Unionistas de Salamanca	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Barakaldo	2 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Lugo	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Away	Arenas Getxo	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Away	Arenteiro	0 - 2	Win

Predictions

Leganes to win

This prediction indicates that Leganes has a 55.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.05 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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