Lexington vs Monterey Bay Sunday 02nd August 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Lexington Monterey Bay

Lexington L W W W L W

Monterey Bay D W L W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Lexington	Monterey Bay	3 - 1	May 8, 2026
Monterey Bay	Lexington	2 - 1	June 8, 2025
Lexington	Monterey Bay	0 - 0	April 19, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Home	New Mexico United	1 - 4	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Tampa Bay Rowdies	1 - 4	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	San Antonio	2 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 4	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Indy Eleven	3 - 1	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	Monterey Bay	3 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Away	San Antonio	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Home	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 0	Win
Jun 18, 26	Away	FC Tulsa	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 11, 26	Home	Sporting JAX	2 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Loudoun United	4 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Birmingham Legion	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
17	Lexington	14	5	3	6	22	20	+2	18
21	Monterey Bay	15	4	3	8	14	22	-8	15

This prediction indicates that Lexington has a 57.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.83 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply