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Sept. 13, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Libertad Independiente del Valle
Libertad W D W W W W
Independiente del Valle D W W W W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Independiente del Valle Libertad 2 - 3 May 23, 2026
Independiente del Valle Libertad 1 - 1 December 6, 2025
Libertad Independiente del Valle 1 - 3 November 4, 2025
Independiente del Valle Libertad 1 - 1 June 14, 2025
Libertad Independiente del Valle 2 - 0 February 15, 2025
Libertad Independiente del Valle 1 - 1 September 21, 2024

Libertad Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 25, 26 Home Macara 1 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Guayaquil City FC 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 10, 26 Home Universidad Catolica 2 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Orense SC 3 - 0 Win
Jul 27, 26 Away Mushuc Runa SC 0 - 2 Win
Jul 21, 26 Home Delfin SC 1 - 0 Win

Independiente del Valle Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Universidad Catolica 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 26, 26 Home Deportes Tolima 3 - 1 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Leones del Norte 2 - 3 Win
Aug 19, 26 Away Deportes Tolima 0 - 1 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Delfin SC 3 - 2 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away LDU de Quito 0 - 2 Win

Liga Pro Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 26 22 1 3 64 26 +38 67
7 Libertad 26 10 7 9 29 29 0 37

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.92% likelihood that both Libertad and Independiente del Valle will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Independiente del Valle to win
This prediction indicates that Independiente del Valle has a 57.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.98 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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