Lugo vs Racing Ferrol Saturday 26th September 2026 05:30 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo

Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Lugo logo Lugo
Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Racing Ferrol logo Racing Ferrol

Match Analysis

Lugo Racing Ferrol
Lugo D W W W L D
Racing Ferrol L D D D L D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Racing Ferrol Lugo 1 - 1 February 7, 2026
Lugo Racing Ferrol 2 - 1 September 21, 2025
Racing Ferrol Lugo 1 - 1 December 30, 2022
Lugo Racing Ferrol 1 - 0 August 6, 2022

Lugo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 4, 26 Away Ponferradina 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 30, 26 Away Unionistas de Salamanca 1 - 3 Win
Aug 21, 26 Home Ourense CF 1 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Coruxo 2 - 1 Win
Jul 29, 26 Away Deportivo La Coruna 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Celta de Vigo II 1 - 1 Draw

Racing Ferrol Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 6, 26 Away Extremadura 1924 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Away Arenas Getxo 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 13, 26 Home Real Avilés 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Real Madrid II 2 - 2 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Unionistas de Salamanca 3 - 2 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Osasuna II 0 - 0 Draw

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Lugo 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
14 Racing Ferrol 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.04% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Lugo to win
This prediction indicates that Lugo has a 49.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.96 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Mérida AD vs Mirandes 15 hours from now · 10 p.m. › Pontevedra vs Athletic Club II 11 hours from now · 5:30 p.m. › Real Avilés vs Unionistas de Salamanca 13 hours from now · 7:45 p.m. › UD Ourense vs UD Logroñés 13 hours from now · 7:45 p.m. ›