J1 League
Match Analysis
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
D
W
D
D
W
W
Nagoya Grampus
D
L
L
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nagoya Grampus | Machida Zelvia | 2 - 2 | May 30, 2026 |
| Machida Zelvia | Nagoya Grampus | 3 - 1 | November 30, 2025 |
| Nagoya Grampus | Machida Zelvia | 1 - 2 | March 2, 2025 |
| Machida Zelvia | Nagoya Grampus | 1 - 0 | July 6, 2024 |
| Nagoya Grampus | Machida Zelvia | 0 - 1 | March 2, 2024 |
| Machida Zelvia | Nagoya Grampus | 3 - 4 | August 16, 2017 |
Machida Zelvia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Away | Nagoya Grampus | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 22, 26 | Home | Urawa | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Kawasaki Frontale | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Tokyo Verdy | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 10, 26 | Away | JEF United Chiba | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 6, 26 | Home | Yokohama F. Marinos | 2 - 0 | Win |
Nagoya Grampus Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Home | Machida Zelvia | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Cerezo Osaka | 6 - 1 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Kyoto Sanga | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 6, 26 | Home | Gamba Osaka | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Away | V-varen Nagasaki | 1 - 2 | Win |
J1 League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 25 | 21 | +4 | 33 |
| 6 | Nagoya Grampus | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 30 | +3 | 30 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.09% likelihood that both Machida Zelvia and Nagoya Grampus will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Machida Zelvia to win
This prediction indicates that Machida Zelvia has a 52.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.09 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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