La Liga
The two sides are closely matched in overall quality, but Espanyol has dominated recent meetings and comes in with a notable rest advantage. The model predicts a home win with a 37% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply for Malaga. Additionally, the model sees a 51% chance that both teams will score, slightly more confident than the market suggests, and expects fewer than 2.5 goals (47% over), aligning closely with the market's view.
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | Malaga | 3 - 0 | May 2, 2021 |
| Malaga | Espanyol | 0 - 3 | November 2, 2020 |
| Espanyol | Malaga | 3 - 0 | September 2, 2020 |
| Espanyol | Malaga | 4 - 1 | May 13, 2018 |
| Malaga | Espanyol | 0 - 1 | January 8, 2018 |
| Malaga | Espanyol | 0 - 1 | February 4, 2017 |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 26 | Away | Getafe | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 17, 26 | Home | Villarreal | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Celta Vigo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Levante | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Real Madrid | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Deportivo La Coruna | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 26 | Home | Elche | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 15, 26 | Away | Rayo Vallecano | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Osasuna | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Sevilla | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Real Sociedad | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Real Madrid | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 20 | Malaga | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 |
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