J3 League
Match Analysis
Matsumoto Yamaga
Osaka
Matsumoto Yamaga
L
D
W
L
D
D
Osaka
W
W
D
L
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matsumoto Yamaga | Osaka | 1 - 1 | November 16, 2025 |
| Matsumoto Yamaga | Osaka | 1 - 1 | May 25, 2025 |
| Osaka | Matsumoto Yamaga | 1 - 0 | May 7, 2025 |
| Matsumoto Yamaga | Osaka | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2024 |
| Osaka | Matsumoto Yamaga | 0 - 0 | March 23, 2024 |
| Osaka | Matsumoto Yamaga | 3 - 1 | September 3, 2023 |
Matsumoto Yamaga Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Biwako Shiga | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Kochi United | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Ventforet Kofu | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Nara Club | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Montedio Yamagata | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Fukushima United | 3 - 3 | Draw |
Osaka Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Nara Club | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Parceiro Nagano | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Gainare Tottori | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Avispa Fukuoka | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | Jubilo Iwata | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Biwako Shiga | 0 - 0 | Draw |
J3 League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Osaka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.29% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Matsumoto Yamaga to win
This prediction indicates that Matsumoto Yamaga has a 40.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.40 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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