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Victoria NPL

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Melbourne City II Green Gully
Melbourne City II L L L D W W
Green Gully L D D W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Green Gully Melbourne City II 1 - 3 May 15, 2026

Melbourne City II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Away Hume City 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Avondale 2 - 3 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away Sunshine Georgies 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Heidelberg United 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Away Altona Magic 0 - 3 Win
Jun 26, 26 Away St. Albans Saints 0 - 2 Win

Green Gully Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Away Oakleigh Cannons 4 - 1 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Away Preston Lions 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 24, 26 Home Dandenong City 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 17, 26 Home Dandenong Thunder 3 - 1 Win
Jul 10, 26 Home Altona Magic 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 3, 26 Home Bentleigh Greens 3 - 0 Win

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Melbourne City II 22 7 6 9 32 34 -2 27
13 Green Gully 23 3 6 14 19 45 -26 15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.22% likelihood that both Melbourne City II and Green Gully will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Melbourne City II to win
This prediction indicates that Melbourne City II has a 55.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.23 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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