Friendlies Clubs
Match Analysis
Melbourne City
Palermo
Melbourne City
D
L
W
W
W
W
Palermo
W
L
W
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Melbourne City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 26 | Away | Auckland | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 26, 26 | Home | Adelaide United | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Brisbane Roar | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Apr 12, 26 | Home | Wellington Phoenix | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 7, 26 | Home | Central Coast Mariners | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 4, 26 | Home | Western Sydney Wanderers | 3 - 0 | Win |
Palermo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Paradiso | 7 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 20, 26 | Home | Catanzaro | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Catanzaro | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| May 8, 26 | Away | Venezia | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 1, 26 | Home | Catanzaro | 3 - 2 | Win |
Predictions
Melbourne City or Palermo to win
This prediction indicates that Palermo has a 38.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.10 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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