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USL Championship

Aug. 2, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Miami FC Detroit City
Miami FC W D L D L W
Detroit City W W D L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Detroit City Miami FC 2 - 1 May 21, 2026
Detroit City Miami FC 2 - 0 June 21, 2025
Miami FC Detroit City 0 - 2 March 9, 2025
Detroit City Miami FC 3 - 0 October 19, 2024
Miami FC Detroit City 0 - 4 June 29, 2024
Detroit City Miami FC 2 - 1 September 9, 2023

Miami FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 15, 26 Home Indy Eleven 2 - 0 Win
Jul 5, 26 Home Birmingham Legion 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 24, 26 Home Orange County SC 2 - 4 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Away Oakland Roots 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Louisville City 4 - 3 Win

Detroit City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 3, 26 Away Birmingham Legion 1 - 2 Win
Jun 13, 26 Away Sporting JAX 2 - 6 Win
Jun 10, 26 Home El Paso Locomotive 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Charleston Battery 2 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Away Loudoun United 0 - 0 Draw
May 21, 26 Home Miami FC 2 - 1 Win

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Detroit City 14 7 3 4 21 14 +7 24
10 Miami FC 16 5 6 5 20 24 -4 21

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.41% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Detroit City to win
This prediction indicates that Detroit City has a 47.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.19 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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