Championship
Match Analysis
Morton
Arbroath
Morton
L
L
L
L
L
D
Arbroath
L
W
L
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morton | Arbroath | 2 - 1 | March 28, 2026 |
| Arbroath | Morton | 1 - 1 | January 23, 2026 |
| Morton | Arbroath | 1 - 0 | November 8, 2025 |
| Arbroath | Morton | 1 - 1 | September 20, 2025 |
| Arbroath | Morton | 1 - 2 | April 20, 2024 |
| Morton | Arbroath | 3 - 0 | January 27, 2024 |
Morton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Partick | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Inverness CT | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | ST Johnstone | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | East Fife | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Linlithgow Rose | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Stranraer | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Arbroath Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Ayr Utd | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Stirling Albion | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Montrose | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Dundee Utd | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Heart Of Midlothian | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Spartans | 1 - 2 | Win |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Morton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Arbroath | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Predictions
Arbroath to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Arbroath has a 39.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.31 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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