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FKF Premier League

Sept. 18, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Murang'a SEAL Nairobi United
Murang'a SEAL W W L W L L
Nairobi United W D D L W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Murang'a SEAL Nairobi United 2 - 4 April 19, 2026
Nairobi United Murang'a SEAL 1 - 1 December 12, 2025

Murang'a SEAL Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home Mara Sugar 2 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Away Bidco United 0 - 2 Win
May 17, 26 Home GOR Mahia 1 - 3 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Homeboyz 1 - 0 Win
May 6, 26 Away Police 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Away Kariobangi Sharks 1 - 0 Loss

Nairobi United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away GOR Mahia 0 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Home Police 0 - 0 Draw
May 16, 26 Home Posta Rangers FC 2 - 2 Draw
May 10, 26 Away Kariobangi Sharks 2 - 0 Loss
May 6, 26 Home Tusker 1 - 0 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Mathare United 1 - 2 Win

FKF Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Nairobi United None None None None None None None None
None Murang'a SEAL None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.02% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Murang'a SEAL to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Murang'a SEAL has a 36.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.23 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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