MVV vs Heracles Sunday 18th October 2026 05:45 PM football predictions.

Eerste Divisie

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MVV View team ›

Oct. 18, 2026 9 hours ago VS

Heracles View team ›

New signing: Y. Liesdek joined MVV from AB Copenhagen on 24 Sep. All transfers

Match Analysis

MVV Heracles

MVV L L W L L D

Heracles W D W L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Heracles is seen as the stronger team in this matchup, with a clear quality gap favoring them and better recent form compared to MVV. The model predicts an away win with a 67% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds suggest. Additionally, the model expects both teams to score and for the match to have more than 2.5 goals, aligning closely with the market’s inclination towards a higher-scoring game.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
MVV	Heracles	0 - 2	Eerste Divisie	February 13, 2023
Heracles	MVV	2 - 2	Eerste Divisie	August 29, 2022

MVV Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 9, 26	Away	NAC Breda	Eerste Divisie	1 - 0	Loss
Oct 3, 26	Away	FC OSS	Eerste Divisie	4 - 1	Loss
Sep 26, 26	Home	Helmond Sport	Eerste Divisie	2 - 0	Win
Sep 18, 26	Away	Waalwijk	Eerste Divisie	6 - 1	Loss
Sep 11, 26	Home	Almere City FC	Eerste Divisie	0 - 4	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Home	Roda	Eerste Divisie	1 - 1	Draw

Heracles Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 9, 26	Home	Waalwijk	Eerste Divisie	3 - 0	Win
Oct 2, 26	Away	Helmond Sport	Eerste Divisie	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 26, 26	Home	Vitesse	Eerste Divisie	2 - 0	Win
Sep 18, 26	Away	Almere City FC	Eerste Divisie	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 11, 26	Home	Jong AZ	Eerste Divisie	3 - 2	Win
Sep 4, 26	Home	De Graafschap	Eerste Divisie	5 - 0	Win

Eerste Divisie Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	10	8	1	1	31	12	+19	25
8	MVV	10	5	1	4	13	20	-7	16

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	10	8	1	1	+19	25
2	Almere City FC	11	7	1	3	+14	22
3	VVV Venlo	11	7	1	3	+12	22
4	Emmen	11	7	1	3	+5	22
5	NAC Breda	11	6	2	3	+3	20
6	Vitesse	11	5	2	4	+1	17
7	Roda	10	4	4	2	+2	16
8	MVV	10	5	1	4	-7	16
9	FC Volendam	10	5	0	5	+5	15
10	Jong AZ	11	4	2	5	+4	14
11	Waalwijk	10	3	5	2	+4	14
12	Den Bosch	11	4	2	5	-3	14
13	Jong PSV	10	3	4	3	-2	13
14	FC OSS	11	4	0	7	-1	12
15	FC Eindhoven	11	3	2	6	-8	11
16	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	-10	11
17	Helmond Sport	11	2	3	6	-5	9
18	Jong Ajax	10	2	2	6	-12	8
19	Dordrecht	10	2	2	6	-14	8
20	Jong Utrecht	10	2	1	7	-7	7

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.01% likelihood that both MVV and Heracles will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Heracles to win

This prediction indicates that Heracles has a 67.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.55 %

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 70.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Eerste Divisie

Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Jong Utrecht vs Roda 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Jong PSV vs Dordrecht 17 hours from now · 9 p.m. ›

Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

MVV Form (Last 6 Matches)

Heracles Form (Last 6 Matches)

Eerste Divisie Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Heracles to win

Over 2.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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