J1 League
Match Analysis
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
W
L
L
L
L
D
Machida Zelvia
W
W
W
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Machida Zelvia | Nagoya Grampus | 0 - 0 | June 6, 2026 |
| Nagoya Grampus | Machida Zelvia | 2 - 2 | May 30, 2026 |
| Machida Zelvia | Nagoya Grampus | 3 - 1 | November 30, 2025 |
| Nagoya Grampus | Machida Zelvia | 1 - 2 | March 2, 2025 |
| Machida Zelvia | Nagoya Grampus | 1 - 0 | July 6, 2024 |
| Nagoya Grampus | Machida Zelvia | 0 - 1 | March 2, 2024 |
Nagoya Grampus Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Gamba Osaka | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Kashima | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Shimizu S-pulse | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Consadole Sapporo | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | FC Tokyo | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | Machida Zelvia | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Machida Zelvia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | JEF United Chiba | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | FC Tokyo | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Fujieda MYFC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Nagoya Grampus | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Nagoya Grampus | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 22, 26 | Home | Urawa | 1 - 0 | Win |
J1 League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Machida Zelvia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | +8 | 6 |
| 18 | Nagoya Grampus | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.5% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Machida Zelvia to win
This prediction indicates that Machida Zelvia has a 48.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.99 %Most Likely Scorelines
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