New York City FC vs Chicago Fire Sunday 26th July 2026 02:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

New York City FC Chicago Fire

New York City FC L D W W L L

Chicago Fire D D W W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chicago Fire	New York City FC	1 - 3	September 14, 2025
New York City FC	Chicago Fire	3 - 1	May 25, 2025
New York City FC	Chicago Fire	2 - 2	August 24, 2024
Chicago Fire	New York City FC	0 - 0	July 14, 2024
New York City FC	Chicago Fire	1 - 0	October 22, 2023
Chicago Fire	New York City FC	1 - 1	March 5, 2023

New York City FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	Nashville SC	2 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	New York Red Bulls	1 - 1	Draw
May 13, 26	Away	Charlotte	0 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Columbus Crew	3 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Home	DC United	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	CF Montreal	1 - 0	Loss

Chicago Fire Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 6, 26	Away	Huntsville City	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Chattanooga	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	New England II	1 - 2	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Fort Lauderdale CF	3 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Atlanta United II	3 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Toronto FC	2 - 1	Win

Major League Soccer Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Chicago Fire	14	8	2	4	27	16	+11	26
17	New York City FC	15	5	4	6	25	21	+4	19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.61% likelihood that both New York City FC and Chicago Fire will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

New York City FC to win

This prediction indicates that New York City FC has a 46.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.97 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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