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Major League Soccer
New York City FC logo New York City FC
Sept. 19, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS
New York Red Bulls logo New York Red Bulls

Match Analysis

New York City FC New York Red Bulls
New York City FC D D L L D W
New York Red Bulls L D L L W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
New York Red Bulls New York City FC 1 - 1 May 16, 2026
New York Red Bulls New York City FC 2 - 3 September 27, 2025
New York City FC New York Red Bulls 2 - 0 May 17, 2025
New York City FC New York Red Bulls 0 - 2 November 23, 2024
New York Red Bulls New York City FC 1 - 5 September 28, 2024
New York City FC New York Red Bulls 2 - 1 May 18, 2024

New York City FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Toronto FC 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 23, 26 Away New England Revolution 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 19, 26 Away FC Cincinnati 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Home Philadelphia Union 2 - 3 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Home Toronto FC 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Chicago Fire 3 - 1 Win

New York Red Bulls Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Philadelphia Union 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Chicago Fire 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 19, 26 Home Nashville SC 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away Atlanta United FC 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Orlando City SC 3 - 2 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Charlotte 0 - 2 Loss

Major League Soccer Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 New York City FC 22 7 7 8 36 31 +5 28
21 New York Red Bulls 22 7 5 10 32 46 -14 26

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.36% likelihood that both New York City FC and New York Red Bulls will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
New York City FC to win
This prediction indicates that New York City FC has a 54.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.10 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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