Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
New York Red Bulls
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
W
L
L
W
D
W
Chicago Fire
W
W
W
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | New York Red Bulls | 1 - 3 | May 9, 2026 |
| Chicago Fire | New York Red Bulls | 1 - 0 | July 27, 2025 |
| New York Red Bulls | Chicago Fire | 2 - 1 | April 5, 2025 |
| Chicago Fire | New York Red Bulls | 2 - 1 | September 15, 2024 |
| New York Red Bulls | Chicago Fire | 0 - 0 | April 13, 2024 |
| Chicago Fire | New York Red Bulls | 2 - 2 | January 27, 2024 |
New York Red Bulls Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Orlando City SC | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Charlotte | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Philadelphia Union | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Sporting Kansas City | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Home | New York City FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Columbus Crew | 3 - 2 | Win |
Chicago Fire Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | FC Cincinnati II | 7 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Charlotte | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Carolina Core | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | New York City FC | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Inter Miami | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Crown Legacy | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 23 | +9 | 29 |
| 15 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.76% likelihood that both New York Red Bulls and Chicago Fire will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.New York Red Bulls to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that New York Red Bulls has a 37.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.38 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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