Newport County vs Grimsby Saturday 26th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

League Two

Newport County

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Grimsby

Match Analysis

Newport County Grimsby

Newport County L L D L W D

Grimsby D D D D W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Newport County	Grimsby	0 - 0	February 7, 2026
Grimsby	Newport County	2 - 1	August 16, 2025
Grimsby	Newport County	1 - 0	March 22, 2025
Newport County	Grimsby	0 - 0	November 16, 2024
Grimsby	Newport County	1 - 0	April 6, 2024
Newport County	Grimsby	1 - 1	December 16, 2023

Newport County Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Away	Northampton	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 1, 26	Away	Salford City	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Tranmere	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	Bristol Rovers	5 - 3	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Rochdale	3 - 0	Win
Aug 8, 26	Away	AFC Wimbledon	1 - 1	Draw

Grimsby Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Away	Cheltenham	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 1, 26	Away	Accrington ST	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Home	Fleetwood Town	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	Walsall	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Exeter City	1 - 0	Win
Aug 8, 26	Home	Blackpool	1 - 3	Loss

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Grimsby	4	1	3	0	5	4	+1	6
14	Newport County	4	1	1	2	9	9	0	4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.13% likelihood that both Newport County and Grimsby will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Grimsby to win

This prediction indicates that Grimsby has a 53.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.94 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League Two

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Newport County Form (Last 6 Matches)

Grimsby Form (Last 6 Matches)

League Two Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Grimsby to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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