Newport County vs Plymouth Tuesday 06th October 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

EFL Trophy

Newport County

Oct. 6, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Plymouth

Match Analysis

Newport County Plymouth

Newport County D D L L D L

Plymouth W W W L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Newport County	Plymouth	2 - 0	August 31, 2021
Plymouth	Newport County	3 - 1	November 10, 2020
Plymouth	Newport County	1 - 0	February 1, 2020
Newport County	Plymouth	1 - 0	August 17, 2019
Newport County	Plymouth	2 - 0	November 13, 2018
Plymouth	Newport County	6 - 1	April 17, 2017

Newport County Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Accrington ST	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Home	Fleetwood Town	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Away	Northampton	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 1, 26	Away	Salford City	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Tranmere	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	Bristol Rovers	5 - 3	Loss

Plymouth Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Blackpool	2 - 4	Win
Sep 12, 26	Home	Barnsley	3 - 0	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Doncaster	2 - 3	Win
Sep 1, 26	Away	Leicester	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Bradford	2 - 0	Win
Aug 25, 26	Home	Coventry	2 - 4	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.74% likelihood that both Newport County and Plymouth will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Plymouth to win

This prediction indicates that Plymouth has a 55.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.85 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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