Obolon'-Brovar vs Chernihiv Wednesday 15th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Obolon'-Brovar Chernihiv

Obolon'-Brovar L W L D D L

Chernihiv L D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Obolon'-Brovar	Chernihiv	2 - 1	July 23, 2024
Obolon'-Brovar	Chernihiv	3 - 1	July 7, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	LNZ Cherkasy	0 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Kolos Kovalivka	0 - 2	Win
May 13, 26	Away	Shakhtar Donetsk	3 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	2 - 2	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Kudrivka	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Polessya	3 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 23, 24	Away	Obolon'-Brovar	2 - 1	Loss
Feb 21, 24	Away	Nyva Buzova	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 10, 23	Away	Kolos Kovalivka	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 7, 23	Away	Obolon'-Brovar	3 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
565	Obolon'-Brovar	6	1	4	1	8	8	0	7
1647	Chernihiv	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.15% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Obolon'-Brovar has a 37.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.10 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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