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J2 League
Omiya Ardija logo Omiya Ardija
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Shonan Bellmare logo Shonan Bellmare

Match Analysis

Omiya Ardija Shonan Bellmare
Omiya Ardija W D W L W L
Shonan Bellmare W W L D L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Omiya Ardija Shonan Bellmare 1 - 1 December 24, 2016
Omiya Ardija Shonan Bellmare 3 - 2 October 22, 2016
Shonan Bellmare Omiya Ardija 0 - 1 April 24, 2016
Omiya Ardija Shonan Bellmare 2 - 1 August 20, 2014
Shonan Bellmare Omiya Ardija 0 - 1 December 7, 2013
Omiya Ardija Shonan Bellmare 2 - 1 May 18, 2013

Omiya Ardija Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Albirex Niigata 1 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Urawa 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Home Kochi United 2 - 1 Win
May 30, 26 Away Yokohama FC 2 - 1 Loss
May 23, 26 Away FC Gifu 0 - 2 Win
May 17, 26 Home Parceiro Nagano 1 - 2 Loss

Shonan Bellmare Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Oita Trinita 0 - 1 Win
Jul 17, 26 Away Kyoto Sanga 1 - 4 Win
Jun 6, 26 Away Sagan Tosu 1 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Iwaki 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Montedio Yamagata 3 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Vegalta Sendai 0 - 2 Loss

J2 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Omiya Ardija 21 11 2 8 42 31 +11 35
14 Shonan Bellmare 21 9 5 7 27 21 +6 32

Predictions

Omiya Ardija to win
This prediction indicates that Omiya Ardija has a 42.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.80 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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