USL Championship
Match Analysis
Orange County SC
El Paso Locomotive
Orange County SC
D
D
W
W
D
W
El Paso Locomotive
W
L
D
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orange County SC | El Paso Locomotive | 0 - 0 | October 5, 2025 |
| El Paso Locomotive | Orange County SC | 0 - 3 | June 15, 2025 |
| El Paso Locomotive | Orange County SC | 0 - 2 | October 17, 2024 |
| Orange County SC | El Paso Locomotive | 0 - 1 | August 18, 2024 |
| Orange County SC | El Paso Locomotive | 1 - 0 | October 22, 2023 |
| Orange County SC | El Paso Locomotive | 0 - 0 | September 10, 2023 |
Orange County SC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 26 | Away | Hartford Athletic | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Rhode Island | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 24, 26 | Away | Miami FC | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Las Vegas Lights | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | New Mexico United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Oakland Roots | 3 - 2 | Win |
El Paso Locomotive Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Las Vegas Lights | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Monterey Bay | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Phoenix Rising | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 10, 26 | Away | Detroit City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Lexington | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Oakland Roots | 2 - 1 | Loss |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 18 | +7 | 28 |
| 14 | El Paso Locomotive | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 24 | +1 | 19 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.25% likelihood that both Orange County SC and El Paso Locomotive will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Orange County SC to win
This prediction indicates that Orange County SC has a 54.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.72 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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