Orense SC vs Aucas Wednesday 22nd July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Orense SC Aucas

Orense SC L L L W W W

Aucas W D W L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Aucas	Orense SC	3 - 2	March 24, 2026
Aucas	Orense SC	0 - 0	September 21, 2025
Orense SC	Aucas	2 - 1	May 25, 2025
Orense SC	Aucas	4 - 0	August 3, 2024
Aucas	Orense SC	2 - 0	March 2, 2024
Orense SC	Aucas	1 - 2	December 3, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Home	Tecnico Universitario	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 1, 26	Away	LDU de Quito	3 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Universidad Catolica	1 - 2	Loss
May 19, 26	Away	Guayaquil City FC	0 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Leones del Norte	2 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Macara	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 8, 26	Home	Guayaquil City FC	1 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Mushuc Runa SC	0 - 0	Draw
May 26, 26	Home	Manta FC	3 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Barcelona SC	3 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Universidad Catolica	2 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Libertad	3 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Aucas	16	7	5	4	19	16	+3	26
10	Orense SC	17	6	4	7	22	24	-2	22

This prediction indicates that Aucas has a 34.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.44 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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