Allsvenskan
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Orgryte IS have shown poor recent form, while Gais have been moderately consistent. The model also notes a clear quality gap favoring Gais, as well as their historical dominance in recent meetings between the two sides. With these factors in mind, the model predicts an away win with a 58% probability — notably more confident than the market odds suggest. The model also expects both teams to score and for the match to feature more than 2.5 goals, aligning closely with the market's view on these points.
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gais | Orgryte IS | 4 - 0 | Allsvenskan | May 3, 2026 |
| Orgryte IS | Gais | 1 - 4 | Superettan | September 28, 2023 |
| Gais | Orgryte IS | 0 - 1 | Superettan | June 1, 2023 |
| Gais | Orgryte IS | 2 - 1 | Superettan | September 29, 2021 |
| Orgryte IS | Gais | 1 - 0 | Superettan | August 3, 2021 |
| Orgryte IS | Gais | 0 - 2 | Superettan | September 28, 2020 |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 26 | Away | BK Hacken | Allsvenskan | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Sirius | Allsvenskan | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Malmo FF | Allsvenskan | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Halmstad | Allsvenskan | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 26 | Home | Sirius | Allsvenskan | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 20, 26 | Away | Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 14, 26 | Away | Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | BK Hacken | Allsvenskan | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gais | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 21 | +7 | 30 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 15 |
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | +25 | 54 |
| 2 | Djurgardens IF | 24 | 15 | 2 | 7 | +29 | 47 |
| 3 | Hammarby FF | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | +28 | 43 |
| 4 | IF Elfsborg | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | +13 | 40 |
| 5 | BK Hacken | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | +12 | 39 |
| 6 | Malmo FF | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | +5 | 36 |
| 7 | IFK Goteborg | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | -9 | 36 |
| 8 | Vasteras SK FK | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | AIK Stockholm | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gais | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | +7 | 30 |
| 11 | IF Brommapojkarna | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -7 | 30 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -11 | 23 |
| 13 | Degerfors IF | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 20 |
| 14 | Kalmar FF | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -16 | 19 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | -27 | 15 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -28 | 14 |
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