Paide vs Kuressaare Sunday 02nd August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Paide Kuressaare

Paide W D W D W W

Kuressaare L L L D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Paide	Kuressaare	1 - 1	May 31, 2026
Kuressaare	Paide	0 - 1	April 3, 2026
Kuressaare	Paide	1 - 1	October 4, 2025
Paide	Kuressaare	5 - 1	August 16, 2025
Paide	Kuressaare	1 - 1	May 4, 2025
Kuressaare	Paide	1 - 2	March 2, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 26	Home	Hegelmann Litauen	3 - 0	Win
Jul 9, 26	Away	Hegelmann Litauen	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Vaprus	3 - 1	Win
Jun 28, 26	Away	Kalju Nomme	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Flora Tallinn	1 - 2	Win
Jun 17, 26	Home	Laagri	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Nõmme United	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 2, 26	Home	Flora Tallinn	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Away	Vaprus	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Home	Trans Narva	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	Laagri	2 - 3	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Paide	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Paide	19	9	5	5	30	23	+7	32
9	Kuressaare	19	3	2	14	17	35	-18	11

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.36% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Paide has a 73.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.36 %

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