Serie A
Match Analysis
Palmeiras
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
W
L
W
W
W
W
Vasco DA Gama
W
D
D
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco DA Gama | Palmeiras | 2 - 1 | March 12, 2026 |
| Palmeiras | Vasco DA Gama | 3 - 0 | October 1, 2025 |
| Vasco DA Gama | Palmeiras | 0 - 1 | May 4, 2025 |
| Vasco DA Gama | Palmeiras | 0 - 1 | September 22, 2024 |
| Palmeiras | Vasco DA Gama | 2 - 0 | June 14, 2024 |
| Palmeiras | Vasco DA Gama | 1 - 0 | August 27, 2023 |
Palmeiras Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Vitoria | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Atletico-MG | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Coritiba | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Chapecoense-sc | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 28, 26 | Home | Junior | 4 - 1 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Flamengo | 0 - 3 | Win |
Vasco DA Gama Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Independiente Medellin | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Mirassol | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Independiente Medellin | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | Vitoria | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Atletico-MG | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 27, 26 | Home | Barracas Central | 3 - 0 | Win |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 16 | +22 | 47 |
| 18 | Vasco DA Gama | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 21 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.94% likelihood that both Palmeiras and Vasco DA Gama will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Palmeiras to win
This prediction indicates that Palmeiras has a 70.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.52 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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