Serie A
Match Analysis
Botafogo
Fluminense
Botafogo
D
W
L
W
D
W
Fluminense
D
W
W
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Botafogo | 1 - 0 | February 12, 2026 |
| Botafogo | Fluminense | 0 - 1 | February 1, 2026 |
| Fluminense | Botafogo | 2 - 0 | September 28, 2025 |
| Botafogo | Fluminense | 2 - 0 | April 27, 2025 |
| Botafogo | Fluminense | 2 - 1 | January 30, 2025 |
| Fluminense | Botafogo | 0 - 1 | September 21, 2024 |
Botafogo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Vitoria | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Santos | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Bahia | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 27, 26 | Away | Caracas FC | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Sao Paulo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 21, 26 | Away | Independiente | 0 - 3 | Win |
Fluminense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | RB Bragantino | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Bahia | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | Nova Iguaçu | 6 - 1 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Cruzeiro | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 28, 26 | Home | Real Esppor Club | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Mirassol | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fluminense | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 24 | +5 | 32 |
| 9 | Botafogo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 32 | +1 | 25 |
Predictions
Botafogo to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Botafogo has a 37.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.65 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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