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Liga 3

Aug. 23, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Paredes Leça
Paredes W L W L D L
Leça D L D W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Leça Paredes 2 - 5 May 25, 2025
Paredes Leça 2 - 0 May 4, 2025
Leça Paredes 1 - 1 December 22, 2021

Paredes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 7, 26 Home Guimaraes B 3 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Lusitânia Lourosa 4 - 2 Loss
Jul 22, 26 Away AVS 2 - 4 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Santa Clara 2 - 0 Loss
May 3, 26 Home AD Marco 09 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Away Sanjoanense 1 - 0 Loss

Leça Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 29, 26 Away Lusitânia Lourosa 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 15, 26 Away Santa Clara 4 - 0 Loss
Jun 10, 26 Home Vitória de Sernache 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Bragança 1 - 0 Win
May 22, 26 Away Rebordosa 2 - 1 Loss
May 17, 26 Away Vianense 3 - 4 Win

Liga 3 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paredes 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
2 Leça 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.03% likelihood that both Paredes and Leça will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Paredes to win
This prediction indicates that Paredes has a 52.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.97 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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