Championship
Match Analysis
Raith Rovers
Ayr Utd
Raith Rovers
D
L
W
D
D
W
Ayr Utd
W
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raith Rovers | Ayr Utd | 3 - 0 | March 27, 2026 |
| Ayr Utd | Raith Rovers | 2 - 1 | January 31, 2026 |
| Raith Rovers | Ayr Utd | 0 - 2 | October 11, 2025 |
| Ayr Utd | Raith Rovers | 0 - 1 | August 9, 2025 |
| Raith Rovers | Ayr Utd | 1 - 0 | April 5, 2025 |
| Ayr Utd | Raith Rovers | 3 - 0 | January 4, 2025 |
Raith Rovers Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Stenhousemuir | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Heart Of Midlothian | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Peterhead | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Hamilton Academical | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Kilmarnock | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Elgin City | 3 - 1 | Win |
Ayr Utd Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Arbroath | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Alloa Athletic | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Edinburgh City | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Falkirk | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Stranraer | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Airdrie United | 2 - 1 | Win |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ayr Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | Raith Rovers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Predictions
Raith Rovers to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Raith Rovers has a 39.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.65 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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