Primera Nacional logo

Primera Nacional
Patronato logo Patronato
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Almagro logo Almagro

Match Analysis

Patronato Almagro
Patronato D D L D L D
Almagro D L D W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Almagro Patronato 0 - 1 April 11, 2026
Patronato Almagro 0 - 0 September 28, 2025
Almagro Patronato 2 - 1 May 25, 2025
Almagro Patronato 2 - 1 October 7, 2023
Patronato Almagro 1 - 0 May 28, 2023

Patronato Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Colegiales 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Quilmes 3 - 3 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Away Midland 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Away Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 5, 26 Home San Martin Tucuman 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Midland 1 - 1 Draw

Almagro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Quilmes 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 5, 26 Home Gimnasia Y Tiro 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Midland 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 27, 26 Away Atlanta 1 - 3 Win
Jul 12, 26 Away San Martin Tucuman 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Atletico DE Rafaela 1 - 0 Win

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
21 Almagro 24 8 6 10 21 27 -6 30
30 Patronato 23 4 12 7 18 23 -5 24

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.76% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Patronato to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Patronato has a 39.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.56 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]
[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply

Primera Nacional

Colon Santa Fe vs Patronato 17 hours from now · 10:30 p.m. › Agropecuario vs Ciudad de Bolívar 16 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Deportivo Moron vs Almagro 16 hours from now · 9 p.m. › San Miguel vs Colegiales 16 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atlanta 16 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Atletico Mitre vs Club Atlético Güemes 17 hours from now · 10 p.m. ›