Paysandu vs Rentistas Sunday 11th October 2026 01:00 AM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Segunda División

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Oct. 11, 2026 1 week, 1 day ago
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Paysandu Rentistas
Paysandu L D D L W W
Rentistas W W L W W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Rentistas have shown strong recent form, while Paysandu have been struggling in their latest matches. The model predicts a 45% chance that Rentistas will win, which is notably higher than what the current market odds imply for an away victory. The model also sees a modest quality edge in favor of Rentistas, supporting its prediction of an away win.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Competition Date
Rentistas Paysandu 1 - 2 Segunda División July 4, 2026
Paysandu Rentistas 0 - 1 Segunda División April 10, 2026

Paysandu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 3, 26 Away Miramar Segunda División 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 28, 26 Home Tacuarembo Segunda División 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 19, 26 Away Plaza Colonia Segunda División 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 12, 26 Home La Luz Segunda División 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Away Cerrito Segunda División 1 - 2 Win
Aug 29, 26 Home Atenas Segunda División 2 - 0 Win

Rentistas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 3, 26 Home Sportivo Huracan Segunda División 2 - 1 Win
Sep 26, 26 Away Uruguay Montevideo Segunda División 1 - 3 Win
Sep 20, 26 Home Oriental Segunda División 0 - 2 Loss
Sep 13, 26 Away Colón Segunda División 0 - 1 Win
Sep 6, 26 Home Fenix Segunda División 2 - 1 Win
Aug 30, 26 Away CA River Plate Segunda División 0 - 0 Draw

Segunda División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Rentistas 27 11 9 7 32 28 +4 42
12 Paysandu 27 8 5 14 30 35 -5 29
View full table
Pos Team MP W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Colonia 28 12 9 7 +12 45
2 Oriental 29 12 9 8 +7 45
3 Atenas 28 13 6 9 +6 45
4 Colón 29 12 9 8 +5 45
5 Fenix 30 11 11 8 +9 44
6 Rentistas 28 11 9 8 +3 42
7 Cerrito 28 10 11 7 +4 41
8 La Luz 29 9 11 9 -5 38
9 CA River Plate 28 10 7 11 0 37
10 Sportivo Huracan 29 9 10 10 -6 37
11 Paysandu 29 10 5 14 -3 35
12 Miramar 28 7 10 11 -7 31
13 Tacuarembo 29 6 9 14 -13 27
14 Uruguay Montevideo 28 6 8 14 -12 26

Predictions

Rentistas to win
This prediction indicates that Rentistas has a 44.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.04 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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