PFC Sochi vs Chelyabinsk Saturday 29th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

First League

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

PFC Sochi Chelyabinsk

PFC Sochi W L W L D L

Chelyabinsk L W L L W D

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Away	Torpedo Moskva	1 - 2	Win
Aug 1, 26	Away	Leningradets	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Home	Arsenal Tula	5 - 0	Win
Jul 19, 26	Home	Spartak Kostroma	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Away	Shinnik Yaroslavl	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Home	Torpedo Moskva	0 - 3	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 9, 26	Away	Rotor Volgograd	4 - 1	Loss
Aug 2, 26	Away	Volga Ulyanovsk	0 - 2	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Nizhny Novgorod	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Away	Veles	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 13, 26	Home	Ska-khabarovsk	3 - 1	Win
Jul 6, 26	Home	Torpedo Miass	2 - 2	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	PFC Sochi	5	2	1	2	10	7	+3	7
11	Chelyabinsk	5	2	0	3	7	8	-1	6

This prediction indicates that PFC Sochi has a 59.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.28 %

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