Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City Saturday 18th July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Louisville City

Pittsburgh Riverhounds D W W W L W

Louisville City D W D L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Louisville City	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0 - 2	May 9, 2026
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Louisville City	0 - 2	September 13, 2025
Louisville City	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0 - 0	May 10, 2025
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Louisville City	0 - 1	June 19, 2024
Louisville City	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	3 - 1	March 23, 2024
Louisville City	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0 - 1	July 13, 2023

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 20, 26	Away	Hartford Athletic	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	Indy Eleven	1 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Miami FC	2 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Louisville City	0 - 2	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Phoenix Rising	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Detroit City	2 - 1	Win

Louisville City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Home	Brooklyn	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 11, 26	Away	Phoenix Rising	0 - 2	Win
Jun 4, 26	Away	Birmingham Legion	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Tampa Bay Rowdies	0 - 2	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Miami FC	4 - 3	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0 - 2	Loss

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Louisville City	14	6	3	5	24	22	+2	21
8	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	12	6	2	4	15	13	+2	20

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.11% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Score 0 - 0

This prediction indicates that Pittsburgh Riverhounds will score 0 goals, and Louisville City will score 0 goals in the football match.

Match Result (1X2) - Draw

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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