Segunda División
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Match Analysis
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
D
L
D
D
W
W
CA River Plate
W
L
W
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Plaza Colonia and CA River Plate both have moderate recent form, indicating neither team is clearly on a hot streak or in a slump. Plaza Colonia has a modest quality edge over their opponents, which might give them a slight advantage. The model predicts a home win with a 48% probability, which reflects a modest confidence in Plaza Colonia’s chances despite the even nature of their recent meetings and similar rest periods for both sides.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA River Plate | Plaza Colonia | 3 - 2 | Segunda División | July 11, 2026 |
| Plaza Colonia | CA River Plate | 3 - 0 | Segunda División | March 28, 2026 |
| Plaza Colonia | CA River Plate | 1 - 1 | Primera División - Clausura | September 28, 2025 |
| Plaza Colonia | CA River Plate | 0 - 0 | Primera División - Apertura | June 19, 2025 |
| CA River Plate | Plaza Colonia | 1 - 2 | Primera División - Apertura | March 29, 2025 |
| Plaza Colonia | CA River Plate | 0 - 1 | Primera División - Clausura | August 26, 2023 |
Plaza Colonia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 26 | Away | La Luz | Segunda División | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Oct 4, 26 | Home | Cerrito | Segunda División | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 27, 26 | Away | Atenas | Segunda División | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Paysandu | Segunda División | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Sportivo Huracan | Segunda División | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 7, 26 | Home | Uruguay Montevideo | Segunda División | 1 - 0 | Win |
CA River Plate Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 26 | Home | Oriental | Segunda División | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Oct 4, 26 | Away | La Luz | Segunda División | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 26, 26 | Home | Colón | Segunda División | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 20, 26 | Away | Cerrito | Segunda División | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Fenix | Segunda División | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Atenas | Segunda División | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Segunda División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Colonia | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 36 | 24 | +12 | 45 |
| 8 | CA River Plate | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 37 |
View full table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Colonia | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +12 | 45 |
| 2 | Oriental | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | +7 | 45 |
| 3 | Atenas | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +6 | 45 |
| 4 | Colón | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | +5 | 45 |
| 5 | Fenix | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 6 | Rentistas | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | +3 | 42 |
| 7 | Cerrito | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 41 |
| 8 | La Luz | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | CA River Plate | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | Sportivo Huracan | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | -6 | 37 |
| 11 | Paysandu | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | -3 | 35 |
| 12 | Miramar | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -7 | 31 |
| 13 | Tacuarembo | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -13 | 27 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -12 | 26 |
Predictions
Plaza Colonia to win
This prediction indicates that Plaza Colonia has a 48.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.44 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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