Port Vale vs Northampton Saturday 26th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

League Two

Port Vale

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Northampton

Match Analysis

Port Vale Northampton

Port Vale L L D D L L

Northampton W D D L L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Northampton	Port Vale	0 - 1	February 24, 2026
Port Vale	Northampton	0 - 0	October 4, 2025
Northampton	Port Vale	2 - 0	April 1, 2024
Port Vale	Northampton	1 - 0	September 16, 2023
Port Vale	Northampton	0 - 0	February 12, 2022
Northampton	Port Vale	1 - 0	August 7, 2021

Port Vale Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Away	Salford City	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 1, 26	Away	Swindon Town	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Crewe	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Home	Tranmere	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Away	Oldham	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 7, 26	Away	Wolves	3 - 0	Loss

Northampton Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Newport County	1 - 0	Win
Sep 1, 26	Home	Crawley Town	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Gillingham	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	Crewe	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 18, 26	Home	Brighton U21	0 - 3	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Swindon Town	0 - 0	Draw

League Two Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
18	Northampton	4	0	3	1	2	3	-1	3
24	Port Vale	4	0	2	2	2	6	-4	2

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.47% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Port Vale to win

This prediction indicates that Port Vale has a 46.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.28 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League Two

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Port Vale Form (Last 6 Matches)

Northampton Form (Last 6 Matches)

League Two Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

Port Vale to win

Under 1.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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