Prato vs Empoli Wednesday 05th August 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Prato Empoli

Prato L D D W L D

Empoli D W L D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 28, 18	Away	Pontedera	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 21, 18	Home	Arezzo	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 14, 18	Away	Olbia	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 7, 18	Home	Giana Erminio	3 - 2	Win
Apr 3, 18	Away	Monza	2 - 1	Loss
Mar 30, 18	Away	Arzachena	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 8, 26	Away	Monza	2 - 2	Draw
May 1, 26	Home	Avellino	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Venezia	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	Virtus Entella	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 12, 26	Away	Padova	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	Sampdoria	1 - 0	Loss

This prediction indicates that Empoli has a 50.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.62 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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