Preston vs Chorley Wednesday 15th July 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Preston Chorley

Preston L W L L W D

Chorley W D L L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chorley	Preston	0 - 1	July 9, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Home	Southampton	1 - 3	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Sheffield Utd	2 - 3	Win
Apr 22, 26	Away	Birmingham	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	West Brom	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Charlton	1 - 2	Win
Apr 6, 26	Home	QPR	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 25, 26	Home	Worksop Town	2 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	King's Lynn Town	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	Curzon Ashton	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	Marine	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 3, 26	Home	AFC Fylde	2 - 0	Win
Mar 31, 26	Away	Alfreton Town	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1647	Chorley	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1647	Preston	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.34% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Chorley has a 39.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.75 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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